Friday, September 23, 2011

Fantasy Football- Intro to projection analysis

Like most Americans, I spend way too much time devoted to my two fantasy football teams.  The most frustrating part about fantasy football is the fact that everybody that has a team wants to tell you a story about their particular team.  I've listed this as one of the most annoying things about sports.  Nobody really cares that who's on your team. 
A favorite thing of mine to see for each week is the different projections that each fantasy expert has.  From there, I like to see the players that different fantasy writers tell you to start and sit.  It's entertaining to see how they actually do.  Grantland has decided to look at what some of the experts are saying. 
I bet, as a stumbler onto this blog, that you're wondering what this has to do with anything.  However, I'm going to do a study where I'll try and figure out which projections are the ones to be trusted and which ones aren't or how to make reliable projections. 
Brief explanation: I'll be looking at three different sites that project fantasy stats.  They are ESPN, nfl.com, and Sports Illustrated.  I'll look at them as individuals, averaged together, and a weight that I've been messing around with.

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