Wednesday, January 11, 2012

15 Wins 235+ Innings Pitched

A new stat that Morris supporters for the Hall of Fame are throwing out there is the fact that Morris had 11 seasons with 235+ innings pitched and 15+ wins.  This is a very high number and only Hall of Famers have that many type of seasons.  However, like I've said in the past, pitcher wins are essentially useless.

My idea is that if a pitcher throws 235+ innings, he'll way more than likely finish with 15 or more wins.  This is just an idea based on the number of starts a pitcher has to make to reach that 235 innings mark.  We will not even deal with the fact that 235+ innings sounds like an arbitrary cut-off point designed to make Morris look better. 

So from 1980-2011, we'll look at the number of pitchers who threw 235+ innings and had 15+ wins and those pitchers who fell short of the mark.
An* means Morris threw for 235+ innings and won 15 games.

1980*:
23 pitchers threw for 235+ innings.
3 pitchers who threw 235+ innings had less than 15 wins.
20/23 pitchers.

1981:
Strike year.  No pitcher threw for more than 235 innings.

1982*:
24 pitchers threw for 235+ innings.
5 pitchers had less than 15 wins with 235+ innings.

1983*:
20 pitchers threw for 235+ innings
3 pitchers had less than 15 wins with 235+ innings.

1984*:
20 pitchers threw for 235+ innings.
4 pitchers had less than 15 wins with 235+ innings.

1985*:
26 pitchers threw for 235+ innings
3 pitchers had less than 15 wins with 235+ innings.

1986*:
22 pitchers threw for 235+ innings.
5 pitchers had less than 15 wins with 235+ innings.

1987*:
22 pitchers threw for 235+ innings.
2 pitchers had less than 15 wins with 235+ innings.

1988*:
22 pitchers threw for 235+ innings.
4 pitchers had less than 15 wins with 235+ innings.

1989:
16 pitchers threw for 235+ innings.
2 pitchers had less than 15 wins with 235+ innings.

1990*:
7 pitchers threw for 235+ innings.
0 pitchers had less than 15 wins with 235+ innings.

1991*:
11 pitchers threw for 235+ innings
3 pitchers had less than 15 wins with 235+ innings.

1992*:
17 pitchers threw for 235+ innings
3 pitchers had less than 15 wins with 235+ innings.

1993:
15 pitchers threw for 235+ innings.
3 pitchers had less than 15 wins with 235+ innings.

1994 and 1995: No pitchers threw for 235+ innings.

1996:
12 pitchers threw for 235+ innings
1 pitcher had less than 15 wins with 235+ innings.

1997:
11 pitchers threw for 235+ innings
2 pitchers had less than 15 wins with 235+ innings.

1998:
7 pitchers threw for 235+ innings.
1 pitcher had less than 15 wins with 235+ innings.

1999:
4 pitchers threw for 235+ innings.
0 pitchers had less than 15 wins with 235+ innings.

2000:
6 pitchers threw for 235+ innings.
2 pitchers had less than 15 wins with 235+ innings.

2001:
4 pitchers threw for 235+ innings.
0 pitchers had less than 15 wins with 235+ innings.

2002:
5 pitchers threw for 235+ innings.
0 pitchers had less than 15 wins with 235+ innings.

2003:
3 pitchers threw for 235+ innings.
0 pitchers had less than 15 wins with 235+ innings.

2004:
5 pitchers threw for 235+ innings
1 pitcher had less than 15 wins with 235+ innings.

2005:
5 pitchers threw for 235+ innings.
0 pitchers had less than 15 wins with 235+ innings.

2006:
2 pitchers threw for 235+ innings.
1 pitcher had less than 15 wins with 235+ innings.

2007:
2 pitchers threw for 235+ innings
0 pitchers had less than 15 wins with 235+ innings.

2008:
2 pitchers threw for 235+ innings.
0 pitchers had less than 15 wins with 235+ innings.

2009:
3 pitchers thrwe for 235+ innings.
0 pitchers had less than 15 wins with 235+ innings.

2010:
5 pitchers threw for 235+ innings.
2 pitchers had less than 15 wins with 235+ innings.

2011:
6 pitchers threw for 235+ innings.
1 pitcher had less than 15 wins with 235+ innings.

If you do the whole total, 321 pitchers have thrown 235+ innings in a single season.  51 of those pitchers have thrown 235+ innings in a season and won less than 15 games.  Roughly 84% of pitchers who throw 235+ innings in a season will 15+ games since 1980.
If we break this down into the seasons where Morris was pitching, focusing on 1980-1994, we get 245 pitchers who threw 235+ innings in a season.  40 of those pitchers won less than 15 games.  The percentage remains essentially the same, being roughly 84% of those pitchers who throw 235+ innings will win 15+ games.
If we break it down, to just the seasons Morris threw 235+ innings, we get 214 pitchers who have thrown 235+ innings.  35 of whom won less than 15 games.  Again, it is the same percentage. 84% of pitchers who throw 235+ innings will win 15+ games.

It should be noted that every season Jack Morris pitched 235+ innings, he won 15 games.  Anytime, he pitched more than 200 innings, he won 15+ games.  Morris had 7 seasons where he failed to pitch 200 innings.  In all seasons where he topped 200 innings, he topped 235.  This is why, I think 235+ innings pitched is an arbitrary cut-off point designed to make Morris look better.  15 wins is also an arbitrary cut-off point, but that mainly has to do with the facts that wins are essentially useless.

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